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Home > Election Analysis > 1 'Won' but 2 'Gone'

1 'Won' but 2 'Gone'

This article is not about the phases of much hyped Uttar Pradesh elections but it is about the state which have completed the election process and waiting for results on 11th March 2017. In the last article titled '2 Gone and 3 Remaining’ it was said that BJP is believed to have lost powers in 2 states of Goa and Punjab due to many factors-just to count some of them—anti incumbency in both states to increase drug menace in Punjab to instability in Goa.

Realizing this BJP reorganized themselves and with all the new strategies seems to have come strongly in the remaining 3 states of Uttarakhand, Manipur and Uttar Pradesh. Though the election process is on in states of Uttar Pradesh and Manipur where pitched vocal fight on various issues is still on, Uttarakhand elections are complete and with the ground report coming in there are chances that at this stage we can say '1 won’ for BJP.

Polling were held in 69 of the 70 assembly seats on 15th February 2017 in Uttarakhand with 68% of polling which is just slightly better than the polling turnout of 2012. Voting in the Karnaprayag seat has been postponed to 9 March, 2017 in view of the death of the BSP candidate in a road accident. This was one of the model elections which was witnessed by representatives from Russia, Egypt, Bangladesh, Namibia and Kyrgystan who came down to Uttarakhand to witness the elections.

On most of the seats ruling Congress and the Bharatiya Janata Party are locked in straight contests but rebel candidates of both parties who have entered the fray as independents may play a crucial role in upsetting the calculations of the official nominees of their respective parties. Twelve former Congress MLAs contesting as BJP candidates and two former BJP MLAs travelling in Congress boat have made these elections interesting. Chief Minister Harish Rawat who is seeking a second stint in office is contesting from two seats, Haridwar (Rural) and Kichha in Udhamsingh Nagar district. BJP heavyweight Satpal Maharaj is contesting from Chaubatakhal whereas Pradesh BJP president Ajay Bhatt is battling it out in Ranikhet.

But the one question in everyone's mind is whether this Himalayan state, which was carved out from Uttar Pradesh in 2000, is going to have a new chief minister or will the state continue to see incumbent's rule. Making corruption its main poll plank BJP has asked people to vote for change whereas Congress is seeking a second term in power to carry out unfinished development work. Reports of the cold war between Uttarakhand Chief Minister and Pradesh Congress Committee chief also emerged as the polls drew near.

Although he has refuted reports saying there is no discord, the point that cannot be missed is that in the last eight months, 11 Congress legislators in Uttarakhand have left the party to join the BJP. The major leaders leaving the party could be one of the reasons for the fall of the Congress in Uttarakhand. BJP with the help of its strong leaders as well as strong incoming force has projected itself as the only savior for this state which has lagged behind the small state of Jharkhand and Chhattisgarh born with it and has promised a stable government and messiah for ex armed personnel who are a strong force in the state seems to be edging towards the finish line. BSP 'MLA’s’ played a major role in government formation during the last tenure and the same may be true this time along with the independents.

The results of the polls will be out on March 11, 2017 and it is hoped that BJP may reach the goal of government formation in this state this time making it one medal in its favour out of 3 matches which has been completed by now. We can simply say 1 'Won’ but 2 'Gone’ for now.


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