Bihar General Election 2014
Bihar will see an interesting political battle in the 2014 general elections. The state has witnessed a split with the ruling JDU coming out of the BJP on the issue of Narender Modi's leadership. The BJP has gone to form an alliance with the Lok Janshakti party. The RJD and Congress have formed an alliance. The JDU does not have any significant alliance and has decided to face the election alone.
As per the NDTV Poll, out of 40 seats in Bihar NDA is headed to get about 23 seats and the UPA will get only 11. Other Opinion polls have predicted the BJP LJP alliance to win about 20 seats; the RJD Cong is expected to win 14 seats, the JDU only two seats, and the rest four seats for others.
However, everyone knows that the BJP was a junior partner in the JDU alliance. In the 2009 election it had 14 percent share that included the JDU votes as well. Whereas JDU had 24 percent of votes that included BJP votes as well. So with all permutation and combination put together, the realistic figure the BJP may have will be in teens. Added to it would be the 6 per cent LJP votes and the 5 per cent Koiris votes. This may stretch BJP combine vote share to 25 percent and not beyond.
In comparison, the JDU is harping on its winning caste combination and if the equation works in its favour and the Muslims back this party, JDU's share will be also around 25 per cent.
The RJD –Congress combine may still end up around same figures even in case of the split of Muslim votes in favor of the JDU. The RJD-Congress vote share too maybe 25 per cent.
Movement beyond the 25 per cent votes to all the three parties would mean that traditional networks of caste patronage are being disrupted in Bihar.
In such case all of them are giving neck to neck fight to all their opponents. If the 40 seats in Bihar are split into three, the JDU, RJD-Congress and the BJP-LGP, each may get 13 seats. Plus minus of 5 seats can make a huge ranking among the parties in the state. If we go by the current position, JDU is number one, RJD-Congress, number two and the BJP– LJP combine number three.
Parliament Election Results 2014
Party |
Results |
| BJP+ |
31 |
| RJD+ |
7 |
| JD(U)+ |
2 |
| INC |
0 |
| AAP |
0 |
Active Political Parties in Bihar
General Election News in Bihar
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