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Home > General Elections > Uttar Pradesh

Uttar Pradesh General Election 2014

Uttar Pradesh is the most populous state in the country. In 2014 Lok Sabha elections, UP will have polls in 6 phases, starting from April 10 and ending on May 12. The state has 80 Lok Sabha seats the largest in the country out of which 17 are reserved for candidates belonging to scheduled caste.

Since Uttar Pradesh has the largest number of members in the Lok Sabha, the election results from UP often decides the fate of the government at the centre.

In the 2009 Lok Sabha election, both Congress and BJP got 18 per cent votes but the BJP got 10 seats while the Congress walked away with 21 seats, emerging second only to SP that got 23 seats. The Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) got 28 per cent votes but bagged only 20 seats.

Opinion poll conducted by CNN-IBN 7 gives BJP to secure 41-49 seats, Congress 11 to 15 seats, Bahujan Samaj Party 10 to 16 seats, Samajwadi Party 8 to 14 seats and 2 to 6 seats to Others. The CNN-IBN 7 India TV survey gives 31 seats to the BJP, 25 seats to the Samajwadi Party, 17 seats to the BSP, 5 to the Congress and 2 to the RLD. ABP News-Nielsen opinion poll gives BJP 35 seats, Congress 12, SP 14, AAP 2, BSP 15, and Others 2.

Given that there is lot of uncertainty in store in UP lok sabha elections, the pollsters have given the upper castes preference towards the BJP as the reason of its upsurge in the state. However, they have not cited any reasons for the OBC and Dalit votes to stick to the BJP.

The consolidation of some section of the votes in favor of BJP, necessarily do not mean the fragmentation of other section of the voters.

If the upper caste votes of the SP and BSP may migrate to the BJP, it is not necessary that the dalits and OBC votes may stick to the BJP. So it seems the opinion polls in U.P. tend to show some bias in favor of the BJP.

There is a probable scenario where the migration of Dalit and OBC voters from the BJP, SP camps may take place to the BSP camp with the crucial Muslim vote bank too switching over to the BSP. In such case there can be a direct fight between the upper castes supporting the BJP and the rest supporting the BSP. No guesses for the winner. However, knowing that in U.P, nothing could be predicated till the ballot is cast; victory for the BJP is the handiwork of the party's propaganda machinery. The actual out will depend upon how the rest of the players play their cards against the BJP.


Parliament Election Results 2014

Party Results
BJP+ 73
SP+ 5
INC+ 2
BSP 0
AAP 0
AD 2


Active Political Parties in Uttar Pradesh

Party name Abbr Election symbol
Aam Aadmi Party AAP
All India Trinamool Congress TMC
Bahujan Samaj Party BSP
Samajwadi Party SP
Bharatiya Janata Party BJP
Indian National Congress INC
Communist party of India CPI
Rashtriya Lok Dal RLD

General Election News in Uttar Pradesh


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